HOME      ABOUT      ARTICLES      CONTACT      LINKS      CONVERTER
CYCLOSTORM
Updated: Tue 22 Sep 2020 17:33 GMT
Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
Graphic provided by the National Hurricane Center
East Pacific Outlook Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook


000
ABNT20 KNHC 221716
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Tue Sep 22 2020

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on recently
downgraded Tropical Depression Beta, located over the Texas coast,
on Hurricane Teddy, located a few hundred miles south of Halifax,
Nova Scotia, and on Tropical Storm Paulette, located a few hundred
miles southeast of the Azores.

Showers and thunderstorms extending from the southeastern Bahamas
westward through Cuba and into the southeastern Gulf of Mexico are
associated with a cold front. This system is forecast to move
little for the next day or so, then move back northward on Thursday
through Saturday. While development of this system over the
southeastern Gulf of Mexico late this week is very unlikely, locally
heavy rainfall is possible over portions of Cuba through Wednesday
and over the Florida Keys and south Florida on Thursday and Friday.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent.

&&

Public Advisories on Paulette are issued under WMO header WTNT31
KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT1. Forecast/Advisories on
Paulette are issued under WMO header WTNT21 KNHC and under AWIPS
header MIATCMAT1.

$$
Forecaster Blake

Summary for Tropical Storm Paulette (AT1/AL172020)

...PAULETTE WEAKENS AND IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A REMNANT LOW WITHIN THE NEXT DAY OR SO... As of 3:00 PM GMT Tue Sep 22 the center of Paulette was located near 35.0, -22.3 with movement E at 14 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1006 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 40 mph.

Tropical Storm Paulette Public Advisory Number 42

Issued at 300 PM GMT Tue Sep 22 2020

000
WTNT31 KNHC 221448
TCPAT1
 
BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Paulette Advisory Number  42
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL172020
300 PM GMT Tue Sep 22 2020
 
...PAULETTE WEAKENS AND IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A REMNANT LOW
WITHIN THE NEXT DAY OR SO...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 300 PM GMT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...35.0N 22.3W
ABOUT 335 MI...535 KM SE OF THE AZORES
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...E OR 80 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 300 PM GMT (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Paulette was
located near latitude 35.0 North, longitude 22.3 West. Paulette is
moving toward the east near 14 mph (22 km/h). An east to 
east-northeast motion is expected through Wednesday. A slowing of 
forward motion along with turns to the southeast then south are 
expected Wednesday night through Thursday. A southwestward motion 
is forecast to begin by late this week. 
 
Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts.
Slow weakening is forecast, and Paulette is expected to become a 
remnant low within the next day or so. 
 
Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 60 miles (95 km)
from the center.
 
The estimated minimum central pressure is 1006 mb (29.71 inches).
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 900 PM GMT.
 
$$
Forecaster Latto
 

Tropical Storm Paulette Forecast Advisory Number 42

Issued at 1500 UTC TUE SEP 22 2020

000
WTNT21 KNHC 221448
TCMAT1
 
TROPICAL STORM PAULETTE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  42
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL172020
1500 UTC TUE SEP 22 2020
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 35.0N  22.3W AT 22/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST OR  80 DEGREES AT  12 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT.......  0NE  50SE  50SW   0NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 30NE  60SE 120SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 35.0N  22.3W AT 22/1500Z
AT 22/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 34.9N  23.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 35.2N  20.3W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 35.6N  18.1W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 35.9N  16.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 35.6N  15.9W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 34.9N  15.8W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 33.9N  18.8W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 26/1200Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 35.0N  22.3W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER LATTO
 
 

Tropical Storm Paulette Forecast Discussion Number 42

Issued at 300 PM GMT Tue Sep 22 2020

000
WTNT41 KNHC 221449
TCDAT1
 
Tropical Storm Paulette Discussion Number  42
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL172020
300 PM GMT Tue Sep 22 2020
 
The last of the deep convection near the center of Paulette 
dissipated early this morning, and the circulation now consists of 
low-topped shower activity with the cloud tops warmer than -30 
degrees C. The nearest shower activity that could qualify as deep 
convection is nearly 100 n mi from the cyclone's center and appears 
to be associated with a frontal boundary. A pair of recent ASCAT 
overpasses sampled peak winds of 33 kt, and therefore the initial 
advisory intensity is being lowered to 35 kt. Moderate-to-strong 
vertical wind shear and cool sea surface temperatures are expected 
to continue to weaken Paulette, and the cyclone is forecast to 
become a remnant low within 36 h. If the deep convection does not 
return to Paulette soon, then the cyclone could be declared a 
remnant low by as early as this evening. 

Paulette is moving eastward at 12 kt, and this general motion is 
expected to continue through Wednesday as the cyclone remains 
embedded in the flow around a mid-latitude trough to its north. The 
trough is expected to lift out of the region in about 36 h, and a 
ridge is forecast to build in its place in a couple of days. This 
evolution should cause Paulette, or its remnants, to slow down and 
make a 180 degree right turn over the course of a couple of days. By 
late week, whatever is left of the cyclone should be moving 
west-southwestward. An alternate scenario depicted by a couple of 
the models is that Paulette never escapes the flow around the trough 
and continues to move east-northeast until it dissipates. The latest 
NHC track forecast is in good agreement with the previous one, but 
is somewhat uncertain after 36 h due to the diverging model 
solutions.
 
 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INIT  22/1500Z 35.0N  22.3W   35 KT  40 MPH
 12H  23/0000Z 35.2N  20.3W   35 KT  40 MPH
 24H  23/1200Z 35.6N  18.1W   30 KT  35 MPH
 36H  24/0000Z 35.9N  16.5W   30 KT  35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 48H  24/1200Z 35.6N  15.9W   25 KT  30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 60H  25/0000Z 34.9N  15.8W   25 KT  30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 72H  25/1200Z 33.9N  18.8W   25 KT  30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 96H  26/1200Z...DISSIPATED
 
$$
Forecaster Latto
 

Tropical Storm Paulette Wind Speed Probabilities Number 42

Issued at 1500 UTC TUE SEP 22 2020

000
FONT11 KNHC 221448
PWSAT1
                                                                    
TROPICAL STORM PAULETTE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  42         
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL172020               
1500 UTC TUE SEP 22 2020                                            
                                                                    
AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM PAULETTE WAS LOCATED NEAR     
LATITUDE 35.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 22.3 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED    
WINDS NEAR 35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/H.                               
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
                                                                    
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        12Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY              
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                 
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER LATTO                                                    

Tropical Storm Paulette Graphics

Tropical Storm Paulette 5-Day Uncertainty Track Image
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Tue, 22 Sep 2020 14:50:51 GMT

Tropical Storm Paulette 34-Knot Wind Speed Probabilities
Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Tue, 22 Sep 2020 15:25:00 GMT

Summary for Tropical Depression Beta (AT2/AL222020)

...BETA WEAKENS TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION OVER TEXAS... ...HEAVY RAINS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE OVER PORTIONS OF THE MIDDLE AND UPPER TEXAS COAST... As of 10:00 AM CDT Tue Sep 22 the center of Beta was located near 28.9, -96.7 with movement NE at 2 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1005 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 35 mph.

Tropical Depression Beta Public Advisory Number 20

Issued at 1000 AM CDT Tue Sep 22 2020

000
WTNT32 KNHC 221457
TCPAT2
 
BULLETIN
Tropical Depression Beta Advisory Number  20
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL222020
1000 AM CDT Tue Sep 22 2020
 
...BETA WEAKENS TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION OVER TEXAS...
...HEAVY RAINS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE OVER PORTIONS OF THE MIDDLE AND
UPPER TEXAS COAST...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 1000 AM CDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...28.9N 96.7W
ABOUT 15 MI...25 KM ENE OF VICTORIA TEXAS
ABOUT 30 MI...45 KM WNW OF PALACIOS TEXAS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 45 DEGREES AT 2 MPH...4 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:
 
The Tropical Storm Warning has been discontinued. 

The Storm Surge Warning has been discontinued. Information on 
ongoing coastal flooding can be found in coastal flood products 
issued by local National Weather Service offices.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:
 
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 1000 AM CDT (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Beta was 
located by surface observations, satellites, and NOAA Doppler 
weather radars near latitude 28.9 North, longitude 96.7 West. The 
depression is drifting toward the northeast near 2 mph (4 km/h). A 
slow motion toward the east-northeast is expected by this afternoon 
and tonight.  An east-northeastward to northeastward motion with 
increasing forward speed is expected Wednesday through Friday. On 
the forecast track, the center of Beta will move inland over 
southeastern Texas through Wednesday and then over Louisiana and 
Mississippi Wednesday night through Friday.
 
Data from surface observations and NOAA Doppler weather radars 
indicate that maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 35 mph 
(55 km/h) with higher gusts. Little change in strength is expected 
today with gradual weakening anticipated through Friday.
 
The estimated minimum central pressure based on nearby surface 
observations is 1005 mb (29.68 inches).
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
Key messages for Beta can be found in the Tropical Cyclone
Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT2 and WMO header WTNT42 KNHC.
 
RAINFALL:  For the middle and upper Texas coast, additional 
rainfall of 5 to 10 inches with isolated storm totals up to 20 
inches is expected. Significant flash and urban flooding is 
occurring and will continue today. Minor to isolated moderate river 
flooding is likely.

Rainfall totals of 2 to 5 inches are expected east into the Lower 
Mississippi Valley through the end of the week. Flash and urban 
flooding is possible, as well as isolated minor river flooding on 
smaller rivers.
 
TORNADOES:  A tornado or two could occur through Tuesday near the 
middle to upper Texas coast or the southwestern Louisiana coast.
 
SURF:  Swells generated by a combination of Beta and a cold front
over the northern Gulf of Mexico will continue along the coasts of
Louisiana and Texas during the next couple of days.  These swells
are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current
conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office.
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 400 PM CDT.
 
$$
Forecaster Stewart
 

Tropical Depression Beta Forecast Advisory Number 20

Issued at 1500 UTC TUE SEP 22 2020

000
WTNT22 KNHC 221456
TCMAT2
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION BETA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  20
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL222020
1500 UTC TUE SEP 22 2020
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED. 

THE STORM SURGE WARNING HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED. INFORMATION ON 
ONGOING COASTAL FLOODING CAN BE FOUND IN COASTAL FLOOD PRODUCTS 
ISSUED BY LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICES.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.9N  96.7W AT 22/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR  45 DEGREES AT   2 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.9N  96.7W AT 22/1500Z
AT 22/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 28.8N  96.8W
 
FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 29.0N  96.3W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 29.6N  95.1W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 30.4N  93.7W...INLAND
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 31.7N  92.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW INLAND
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 33.1N  90.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW INLAND
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 34.4N  88.3W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW INLAND
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 26/1200Z...DISSIPATED INLAND
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 28.9N  96.7W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER STEWART
 
 

Tropical Depression Beta Forecast Discussion Number 20

Issued at 1000 AM CDT Tue Sep 22 2020

000
WTNT42 KNHC 221458
TCDAT2
 
Tropical Depression Beta Discussion Number  20
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL222020
1000 AM CDT Tue Sep 22 2020
 
High-resolution visible satellite imagery, surface observations, and 
NOAA Doppler weather radar data from San Antonio, Corpus Christi, 
and Houston, Texas, indicate that Beta has moved a little farther 
inland and has weakened to a tropical depression. The same data 
also show that Beta has started a slow drift toward the northeast. 
Deep convection has waned considerably since the previous 
advisory, especially during the past few hours, with cloud tops now 
warmer than -30 deg C, which no longer meets the Dvorak satellite 
classification criterion. The initial intensity is 30 kt is based 
on average Doppler velocities of 35-40 kt between 1500-2500 ft ASL 
just to the southeast and south of Galveston.
 
The initial motion estimate is now 045/02 kt.  Steering currents 
around Beta remain weak. However, water vapor imagery indicates that 
a broad mid- to upper-level trough over western Texas is moving 
slowly eastward, and that feature should gradually force Beta 
east-northeastward later today and tonight, followed by a faster 
motion toward the northeast on Wednesday and Thursday across 
Louisiana and Mississippi before dissipating in about 4 days. The 
new NHC forecast track is similar to the previous advisory track, 
which keeps Beta just inland from the Gulf coast, and lies near a 
blend of the simple consensus models TVCA and GFEX, and the NOAA 
corrected-consensus model HCCA.
 
Since Beta's center is forecast to remain just inland for the next 
36-48 hours, chances of the cyclone regaining tropical storm status 
are becoming less likely. As a result, the new official intensity 
forecast shows Beta remaining a 25-30 kt depression during that 
time, followed by weakening to a remnant low by 48 hours, and 
dissipation over Mississippi or Alabama by 96 hours. This is 
consistent with the various simple and corrected-consensus models.

Although Beta is now an inland tropical depression, the National 
Hurricane Center will continue to issue advisories on the cyclone 
due to its proximity to the Gulf of Mexico and until it becomes 
clear that re-strengthening into a tropical storm is unlikely.

Key Messages:
 
1. Significant flash and urban flooding is occurring and will 
continue for the middle and upper Texas coast today. The slow motion 
of Beta will continue to produce a long duration rainfall event from 
the middle Texas coast to southern Louisiana. Flash, urban, and 
minor to isolated moderate river flooding is likely. Periods of 
rainfall will spread east into the Lower Mississippi Valley and 
portions of the Southeast through the end of the week. Flash, urban, 
and isolated minor river flooding is possible on smaller rivers.
 
2. Persistent onshore flow will continue to result in above normal 
high tides, and coastal flooding over the next few days will be slow 
to recede. For information on the ongoing coastal flooding, please 
refer to coastal flood products issued by local National Weather 
Service offices.

 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INIT  22/1500Z 28.9N  96.7W   30 KT  35 MPH...INLAND
 12H  23/0000Z 29.0N  96.3W   30 KT  35 MPH...INLAND
 24H  23/1200Z 29.6N  95.1W   30 KT  35 MPH...INLAND
 36H  24/0000Z 30.4N  93.7W   25 KT  30 MPH...INLAND
 48H  24/1200Z 31.7N  92.0W   20 KT  25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 60H  25/0000Z 33.1N  90.0W   20 KT  25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 72H  25/1200Z 34.4N  88.3W   20 KT  25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 96H  26/1200Z...DISSIPATED INLAND
 
$$
Forecaster Stewart
 

Tropical Depression Beta Wind Speed Probabilities Number 20

Issued at 1500 UTC TUE SEP 22 2020

000
FONT12 KNHC 221458
PWSAT2
                                                                    
TROPICAL DEPRESSION BETA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  20        
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL222020               
1500 UTC TUE SEP 22 2020                                            
                                                                    
AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION BETA WAS LOCATED NEAR    
LATITUDE 28.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 96.7 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED    
WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/H.                               
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
                                                                    
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        12Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY              
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                 
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
JACKSON MS     34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   3( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
BATON ROUGE LA 34  X   1( 1)   2( 3)   1( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
MORGAN CITY LA 34  X   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
ALEXANDRIA LA  34  X   2( 2)   3( 5)   3( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)
 
LAFAYETTE LA   34  X   2( 2)   3( 5)   2( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
 
NEW IBERIA LA  34  X   2( 2)   3( 5)   X( 5)   1( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 
GFMX 280N 930W 34  X   3( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
FORT POLK LA   34  X   3( 3)   5( 8)   2(10)   X(10)   X(10)   X(10)
 
LAKE CHARLES   34  X   5( 5)   8(13)   1(14)   X(14)   X(14)   X(14)
 
CAMERON LA     34  1   6( 7)   7(14)   X(14)   1(15)   X(15)   X(15)
 
JASPER TX      34  1   5( 6)   5(11)   1(12)   X(12)   X(12)   X(12)
 
KOUNTZE TX     34  2  11(13)   5(18)   X(18)   X(18)   X(18)   X(18)
 
PORT ARTHUR TX 34  1  12(13)   6(19)   X(19)   X(19)   X(19)   X(19)
 
GALVESTON TX   34  8  16(24)   2(26)   X(26)   X(26)   X(26)   X(26)
 
HOUSTON TX     34 15  11(26)   X(26)   X(26)   X(26)   X(26)   X(26)
 
FREEPORT TX    34 20   9(29)   1(30)   X(30)   X(30)   X(30)   X(30)
 
GFMX 280N 950W 34  3   3( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 
HIGH ISLAND TX 34  4  17(21)   3(24)   X(24)   X(24)   X(24)   X(24)
 
MATAGORDA TX   34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
 
PORT O CONNOR  34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
 
ROCKPORT TX    34  3   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER STEWART                                                  

Tropical Depression Beta Graphics

Tropical Depression Beta 5-Day Uncertainty Track Image
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Tue, 22 Sep 2020 15:05:47 GMT

Tropical Depression Beta 34-Knot Wind Speed Probabilities
Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Tue, 22 Sep 2020 15:40:19 GMT

Local Statement for Corpus Christi, TX

Issued at 1013 AM CDT Tue Sep 22 2020

Local Statement for Austin / San Antonio, TX

Issued at 1016 AM CDT Tue Sep 22 2020

Local Statement for Lake Charles, LA

Issued at 1022 AM CDT Tue Sep 22 2020

Local Statement for Houston / Galveston, TX

Issued at 1101 AM CDT Tue Sep 22 2020

Summary for Hurricane Teddy (AT5/AL202020)

...TEDDY EXPECTED TO BRING DESTRUCTIVE WAVES, HEAVY RAIN AND STRONG WINDS TO PORTIONS OF NOVA SCOTIA TODAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY... As of 11:00 AM AST Tue Sep 22 the center of Teddy was located near 39.6, -63.7 with movement NNW at 16 mph. The minimum central pressure was 950 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 105 mph.

Hurricane Teddy Public Advisory Number 41

Issued at 1100 AM AST Tue Sep 22 2020

000
WTNT35 KNHC 221456
TCPAT5
 
BULLETIN
Hurricane Teddy Advisory Number  41
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL202020
1100 AM AST Tue Sep 22 2020
 
...TEDDY EXPECTED TO BRING DESTRUCTIVE WAVES, HEAVY RAIN AND
STRONG WINDS TO PORTIONS OF NOVA SCOTIA TODAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...39.6N 63.7W
ABOUT 345 MI...555 KM S OF HALIFAX NOVA SCOTIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...105 MPH...165 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 330 DEGREES AT 16 MPH...26 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...950 MB...28.06 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:
 
None.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:
 
A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* South coast of Nova Scotia from Digby to Meat Cove
 
A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* Meat Cove to Tidnish Nova Scotia
* North of Digby to Fort Lawrence Nova Scotia
* Magdalen Islands Quebec
* Port aux Basques to Francois Newfoundland
* Prince Edward Island
 
A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected within the warning area.
 
A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are
possible within the watch area.
 
Interests elsewhere in Atlantic Canada should closely monitor the
progress of Teddy.  Additional watches and/or warnings could be
required later today.
 
For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 1100 AM AST (1500 UTC), the center of Hurricane Teddy was located 
by a NOAA Hurricane Hunter aircraft near latitude 39.6 North, 
longitude 63.7 West. Teddy is moving toward the north-northwest near 
16 mph (26 km/h), and a turn toward the north-northeast is expected 
by early Wednesday.  On the forecast track, the center will move 
over eastern Nova Scotia on Wednesday, and then near or over 
Newfoundland by Wednesday night and east of Labrador on Thursday.
 
Maximum sustained winds are near 105 mph (165 km/h) with higher
gusts.  Although some weakening is likely later today and Wednesday,
Teddy should be a strong post-tropical cyclone when it moves near
and over Nova Scotia.
 
Teddy is an extremely large hurricane. Hurricane-force winds extend 
outward up to 140 miles (220 km) from the center and 
tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 415 miles (665 km).
 
The estimated minimum central pressure is 950 mb (28.06 inches)
based on NOAA Hurricane Hunter aircraft data.
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
Key messages for Teddy can be found in the Tropical Cyclone
Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT5 and WMO header WTNT45 KNHC
and on the web at https://www.hurricanes.gov/text/MIATCDAT5.shtml.
 
STORM SURGE:  A dangerous storm surge is expected to produce
significant coastal flooding near and to the east of where the
center makes landfall in Nova Scotia.  Near the coast, the surge
will be accompanied by very large and destructive waves.
 
SURF:  Large swells generated by Teddy are affecting Bermuda, the
Lesser Antilles, the Greater Antilles, the Bahamas, the east coast
of the United States, and Atlantic Canada. These swells are likely
to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions.  Please
consult products from your local weather office.
 
WIND:  Tropical storm conditions are expected to begin in
the warning area by this afternoon.  Tropical storm conditions
could begin in the watch areas late today or early Wednesday.
 
RAINFALL: Through Thursday, Teddy is expected to produce rainfall
accumulations of 2 to 4 inches (50 to 100 mm) with isolated totals
of 6 inches (150 mm) across sections of Atlantic Canada.
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next intermediate advisory at 200 PM AST.
Next complete advisory at 500 PM AST.
 
$$
Forecaster Blake
 

Hurricane Teddy Forecast Advisory Number 41

Issued at 1500 UTC TUE SEP 22 2020

000
WTNT25 KNHC 221454
TCMAT5
 
HURRICANE TEDDY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  41
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL202020
1500 UTC TUE SEP 22 2020
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
NONE.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* SOUTH COAST OF NOVA SCOTIA FROM DIGBY TO MEAT COVE
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* MEAT COVE TO TIDNISH NOVA SCOTIA
* NORTH OF DIGBY TO FORT LAWRENCE NOVA SCOTIA
* MAGDALEN ISLANDS QUEBEC
* PORT AUX BASQUES TO FRANCOIS NEWFOUNDLAND
* PRINCE EDWARD ISLAND
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.
 
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN ATLANTIC CANADA SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF TEDDY.  ADDITIONAL WATCHES AND/OR WARNINGS COULD BE
REQUIRED LATER TODAY.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 39.6N  63.7W AT 22/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 330 DEGREES AT  14 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  950 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT.
64 KT....... 90NE  90SE  80SW 120NW.
50 KT.......210NE 150SE 150SW 210NW.
34 KT.......360NE 330SE 270SW 300NW.
12 FT SEAS..660NE 780SE 960SW 420NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 39.6N  63.7W AT 22/1500Z
AT 22/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 39.2N  63.5W
 
FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 41.8N  64.1W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 70NE  70SE  70SW  80NW.
50 KT...110NE 100SE 100SW 120NW.
34 KT...260NE 280SE 240SW 220NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 44.8N  62.4W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  90SE  60SW  30NW.
34 KT...210NE 260SE 240SW 180NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 48.8N  59.3W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  40SE  20SW   0NW.
34 KT...100NE 150SE 120SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 54.0N  54.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...270NE 200SE 150SW 200NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 39.6N  63.7W
 
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT35 KNHC/MIATCPAT5...AT 22/1800Z
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE
 
 

Hurricane Teddy Forecast Discussion Number 41

Issued at 1100 AM AST Tue Sep 22 2020

000
WTNT45 KNHC 221459
TCDAT5
 
Hurricane Teddy Discussion Number  41
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL202020
1100 AM AST Tue Sep 22 2020
 
Teddy is in the late stages of extratropical transition.  The 
hurricane has taken on a large comma shape in satellite images, with 
a huge dry-air intrusion aloft near the center and a cold front on 
the western side of the cyclone. While it is tempting to call it an
extratropical now, temperature data from a NOAA Hurricane Hunter 
aircraft indicate that Teddy has maintained a significant warm 
core, and the strongest winds on the southwestern side appear to be 
more related to the cyclone and not the front.  Lastly, deep 
convection is trying to re-develop near the center, another 
indication that the transition is not yet done. Thus Teddy will 
remain a hurricane on this advisory. The initial wind speed is set 
to 90 kt, a blend of the 122-kt flight-level winds, 75-kt SFMR 
values, and global model analyses since much of this large hurricane 
is not being sampled.
 
Teddy should transition into a post-tropical cyclone by the time it 
reaches Nova Scotia and steadily weaken as it moves over the cooler 
waters north of the Gulf Stream.  The cyclone should turn northward 
today and north-northeastward tomorrow ahead of the next trough in 
the mid-latitudes.  This will take Post-Tropical Teddy over Nova 
Scotia and near Newfoundland during the next couple of days, with 
the cyclone likely being absorbed into a larger extratropical 
cyclone west of Greenland in 2-3 days.  There are no significant 
changes to report, except to show a sooner dissipation, which is 
consistent with the latest global models solutions.
 
The hurricane-force and tropical-storm-force winds fields, plus 
12-ft seas area, from Teddy have just about doubled overnight, so it 
is important to note that hazards will extend much farther than 
normal from the center of this hurricane.  The NOAA Hurricane Hunter 
reported hurricane-force surface winds 120 n mi northwest of the 
center, and Canadian buoy 44150 has recently reported 34-ft 
significant wave heights, with the buoy still about 180 n mi from 
the center.
 
Key Messages:
 
1. Teddy is expected to transition to a powerful post-tropical
cyclone as it moves near or over portions of Atlantic Canada
late today through Thursday. The most significant hazard expected
from Teddy is large destructive waves forecast along the southern
coast of Nova Scotia through Wednesday.
 
2. Very large swells produced by Teddy are expected to affect
portions of Bermuda, the Leeward Islands, the Greater Antilles, the
Bahamas, the east coast of the United States, and Atlantic Canada
during the next few days. These swells are expected to cause
life-threatening surf and rip current conditions.
 
3. Tropical Storm Watches and Warnings are in effect for portions
of Nova Scotia, Prince Edward Island and Newfoundland, and heavy
rainfall across Atlantic Canada is expected with Teddy through
Thursday.
 
 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INIT  22/1500Z 39.6N  63.7W   90 KT 105 MPH
 12H  23/0000Z 41.8N  64.1W   75 KT  85 MPH
 24H  23/1200Z 44.8N  62.4W   60 KT  70 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
 36H  24/0000Z 48.8N  59.3W   50 KT  60 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
 48H  24/1200Z 54.0N  54.0W   45 KT  50 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
 60H  25/0000Z...DISSIPATED
 
$$
Forecaster Blake
 

Hurricane Teddy Wind Speed Probabilities Number 41

Issued at 1500 UTC TUE SEP 22 2020

000
FONT15 KNHC 221456
PWSAT5
                                                                    
HURRICANE TEDDY WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  41                 
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL202020               
1500 UTC TUE SEP 22 2020                                            
                                                                    
AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE TEDDY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE    
39.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 63.7 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR  
90 KTS...105 MPH...165 KM/H.                                        
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
                                                                    
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        12Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY              
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                 
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
CAPE RACE NFLD 34  X   X( X)   5( 5)   2( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
 
ILE ST PIERRE  34  X   9( 9)  19(28)   1(29)   X(29)   X(29)   X(29)
 
BURGEO NFLD    34  X  14(14)  37(51)   1(52)   X(52)   X(52)   X(52)
BURGEO NFLD    50  X   X( X)   8( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)
 
PTX BASQUES    34  X  22(22)  52(74)   X(74)   X(74)   X(74)   X(74)
PTX BASQUES    50  X   1( 1)  32(33)   X(33)   X(33)   X(33)   X(33)
PTX BASQUES    64  X   X( X)   5( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
EDDY POINT NS  34 20  68(88)   6(94)   X(94)   X(94)   X(94)   X(94)
EDDY POINT NS  50  X  44(44)  18(62)   X(62)   X(62)   X(62)   X(62)
EDDY POINT NS  64  X   8( 8)   5(13)   X(13)   X(13)   X(13)   X(13)
 
SYDNEY NS      34  4  52(56)  28(84)   X(84)   X(84)   X(84)   X(84)
SYDNEY NS      50  X  11(11)  28(39)   X(39)   X(39)   X(39)   X(39)
SYDNEY NS      64  X   1( 1)   6( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
 
SABLE ISLAND   34 57  21(78)   1(79)   X(79)   X(79)   X(79)   X(79)
SABLE ISLAND   50  X  13(13)   1(14)   X(14)   X(14)   X(14)   X(14)
 
HALIFAX NS     34 70  27(97)   X(97)   X(97)   X(97)   X(97)   X(97)
HALIFAX NS     50  7  77(84)   X(84)   X(84)   X(84)   X(84)   X(84)
HALIFAX NS     64  X  23(23)   X(23)   X(23)   X(23)   X(23)   X(23)
 
YARMOUTH NS    34 73   4(77)   X(77)   X(77)   X(77)   X(77)   X(77)
YARMOUTH NS    50 20   5(25)   X(25)   X(25)   X(25)   X(25)   X(25)
 
MONCTON NB     34 12  30(42)   1(43)   X(43)   X(43)   X(43)   X(43)
MONCTON NB     50  X   7( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
 
ST JOHN NB     34 22  16(38)   X(38)   X(38)   X(38)   X(38)   X(38)
 
EASTPORT ME    34 37   5(42)   X(42)   X(42)   X(42)   X(42)   X(42)
 
BAR HARBOR ME  34 10   3(13)   X(13)   X(13)   X(13)   X(13)   X(13)
 
AUGUSTA ME     34  4   2( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 
PORTLAND ME    34  2   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
HYANNIS MA     34  5   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
NANTUCKET MA   34 12   2(14)   X(14)   X(14)   X(14)   X(14)   X(14)
 
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER BLAKE                                                    

Hurricane Teddy Graphics

Hurricane Teddy 5-Day Uncertainty Track Image
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Tue, 22 Sep 2020 15:00:17 GMT

Hurricane Teddy 34-Knot Wind Speed Probabilities
Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Tue, 22 Sep 2020 15:32:49 GMT

Advisories and Bulletins

Hurricane Tracking

Weather Conditions